We’re using AI to generate a Delphi Primer. This is part of a project by Dr. Cheryl Lentz and Dr Elmer Hall in the 2024 edition of the Refractive Thinker (www.RefractiveThinker.com). The article is dynamic. We used the two most common Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) engines: ChatGPT by OpenAI and Gemini by Google. Readers are given the prompts we used throughout the article and appendixes. Therefore, readers can recreate sections and appendixes in the future using their own GAI. As available data changes and GAI engines improve, the results will be different, and likely much better. Because sources for information returned by chat GAIs is usually rather nebulous, we concentrated with follow-on prompts that asked to “Add reliable sources and Wikipedia articles where appropriate.” Wikipedia is probably the best use of crowdsourcing. Hall (2013) talks about the genius of crowds, especially Wikipedia. Wikipedia articles are dynamically updated and provide the most reliable overview of topics in the world.

We utilized GAI to develop an outline of a book similar to the article that combined Human + Artificial Intelligence (H+AI). The book prompts and outline where included in Appendix A of the article. We had follow-on prompts for each chapter that resulted in a very respectable Delphi Primer that includes AI, intellectual property, and more. When combined the book would be 50 pages or more with an AI generated graphic for each chapter. Readers of the article will be directed here for the appendix, for the chapter prompts and for the assembled GAI book.

Additionally, the article asked GAI to produce various types of information pertaining to Delphi research related to homelessness. This case study on the use of Delphi will also be reproduced here.

  • Appendix A from Hall & Lentz (2024). Book outline on H+AI.
  • Embellishment of each chapter:
  • The Final GAI Book with dynamic links to sources, especially Wikipedia pages:

Generally, the queries or prompts that create the book outline and the final chapters were:

Q: Create a book outline on the combination of human and artificial intelligence to summarize available information on a topic or business market areas and to forecast the future.

… include Delphi Method research (Real-Time Delphi) and scenario planning

… also include a section on crowdsourcing using Wikipedia

… Create an additional chapter on the use of General purpose AI (like ChatGPT) for teachers and students with an emphasis on how APA writing provides sources and avoids plagiarism.

… Add a chapter related to intellectual property including copyright, trademark, trade secrets and patents. Include issues if AI is the creator/inventor and/or a major contributor.

… edit or add a chapter on the Future of Human + AI include a discussion of how some of the great systems thinkers might view the future of human + AI systems, Include Eliyahu Goldratt, Einstein and 1 or 2 other great systems thinkers.

Q: Please create graphic for a book cover based on this outline.

Q: How might this outline be improved?

Q: Using the outline, please create an extended version of Chapter 1. Include good sources including Wikipedia articles where appropriate. Add references that are APA formatted.

[Now do the same for each chapter.]

With the finished sections, simply cut an paste them together. Of course you could ask your favorite GAI to put it all together for you. You could have asked it to write the entire book using the outline, however, ChatGPT and Gemini resist the urge to produce larger amounts of finished work for you at one shot. Note the cover page image for the book that ChatGPT created with subtle misspellings.