We talked about how scenario planning would and should have help see this pandemic, and have early warning signs for continuing plans.
It’s April 20, 2020 and the death rate from Coronavirus in the US is at about 2,000 people per day. The number of cases is not increasing as rapidly, but still rising each day.
The US has only 4.25% of the world’s population, yet we have 32% of the cases and 25% of the world’s deaths. Ouch.
Of the many places you can go to get the stats WorldOmeters.info seems pretty good: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Here’s the grim body count.
| Date: | 4/20/2020 | |
| Cases/Dead | %/World | |
| World | 2,481,287 | 100.0% |
| … deaths | 170,436 | 6.9% |
| 6.9% | %/World | |
| US | 792,759 | 31.9% |
| … deaths | 42,514 | 24.9% |
| Deaths % | 5.4% |
Based on our population we should have only about 100,000 cases, not almost 800,000. The death rate in the US should be more like 7,000.
At least our death rates are 5.4%, are much lower than the average of 6.9%.
Give a look at these two posts. One for scenario planning, why didn’t we in the US have early warning signals? The second identifies how Trump got rid of teams and scientist who would have really helped minimize the impact of COVID.
Turns out the late notification, and slow reaction has been painful. Maybe 8 times as many lives lost so far as we should have lost.
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